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Estimates from other scientists place the potential deaths in a range from several hundred thousand to several million deaths, substantially more than annual deaths from car accidents and flu combined. The number of suicides in the country would need to quadruple to approach the low end of the estimates for possible coronavirus deaths. Even as the president seemed to see an end to the crisis, his team warned of an alarming spread in New York. Deborah L.


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  4. In epidemiology, the attack rate is the percentage of a population that has a disease. In New York City itself, where there have been 12, cases in a population of 8. Birx added that 28 percent of tests for the coronavirus in the region were coming up positive, while in the rest of the country the rate is less than 8 percent.

    Birx said. New York has tried to slow the spread of the coronavirus by closing its schools, shutting down its nonessential businesses and urging its residents to stay home almost around the clock. But it faces a distinct obstacle in trying to stem new cases: its cheek-by-jowl density.

    New York is far more crowded than any other major city in the United States. It has 28, residents per square mile, while San Francisco, the next most jammed city, has 17,, according to data from the U. Census Bureau. Steven Goodman, an epidemiologist at Stanford University. Trump has been frustrated in recent days by some of Mr. Trump said that 10, units of chloroquine would be distributed in New York City on Tuesday.

    Fauci and others have said that its effectiveness remains highly uncertain. In fact, Banner Health , a hospital system in Arizona, reported on Monday that a man died and his wife was in stable condition after the couple self-medicated with a formulation of chloroquine phosphate that is used to clean fish tanks. As President Trump suggested that he would soon re-evaluate the federal guidance urging social distancing, more states moved on Monday to impose their own sweeping stay-at-home orders, which will soon cover more than million Americans in 16 states.

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    Washington, Indiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Wisconsin, West Virginia and Oregon became the latest states to announce sweeping directives to keep more people home in an effort to slow the spread of the virus before it overwhelms the capacities of their hospitals to treat the sick. Eric Holcomb of Indiana, a Republican, said Monday as he issued an order aimed to keep people indoors in his state, which he noted was in line with what other states were doing.

    As states attempt to stop the spread of coronavirus, more than half of all Americans will soon be under instructions to stay at home. The White House issued guidance last week urging Americans to avoid large gatherings, to work from home and to maintain distance from one another for an initial day period.

    Anthony Fauci, an infectious diseases expert and a member of the White House coronavirus task force, has said in interviews that he believed it would take several more weeks before people could start going about their lives in a more normal fashion. Other infectious disease experts suggest even harsher measures than social distancing are required to truly beat back the outbreaks in the United States. Graham tweeted on Monday.

    And on Monday morning, the U. Jerome M.

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    Gavin Newsom estimates that California will be short about 17, hospital beds , although the state is frantically trying to source thousands more of them. And the pace of testing remains stubbornly slow in California. New York State, with half the population of California, has conducted twice as many tests for the virus.

    California had conducted 26, tests by Sunday, the most recent data available. Newsom said the state was also chartering flights to China to procure protective equipment and expressed concern for smaller states that might not have the same purchasing power. He has called up the National Guard to work at food banks, and President Trump ordered a Navy hospital ship, with a thousand beds, to sail to the Port of Los Angeles within a week.

    Across California, a state with many large biotechnology companies, the promise of widespread access to testing for the virus has not materialized. And doctors said they were alarmed about shortages of protective equipment. Many coronavirus cases in Florida, especially in the counties that include Miami, Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach, have been tied to New York, and a recent uptick in travel from the region suggested that New Yorkers were flying to Florida to flee shelter-in-place orders.

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    DeSantis said. The U. Olympic and Paralympic Committee said on Monday night that the Summer Olympics in Tokyo should be postponed because of the coronavirus, adding to a chorus of countries and sports federations who called for the Games not to go on as scheduled in late July and early August.

    Gymnastics on Monday joined the calls for a postponement, following similar stances by national leaders in swimming and track and field. The national committee for the United States said that after surveying athletes, it concluded that postponing would be the only way to conduct the Olympics under safe conditions. The committee surveyed 1, athletes, and 68 percent said they did not believe that the Games could take place fairly as planned.

    Good evening. The coronavirus is the biggest threat this country has faced for decades. And this country is not alone. The time has now come for us all to do more. From this evening, I must give the British people a very simple instruction: You must stay at home. Because the critical thing we must do to stop the disease spreading between households.

    That is why people will only be allowed to leave their home for the following very limited purposes: Shopping for basic necessities as infrequently as possible. One form of exercise a day — for example, a run, walk or cycle — alone or with members of your household. Any medical need, to provide care or to help a vulnerable person. And traveling to and from work — but only where this is absolutely necessary and cannot be done from home. These are the only reasons you should leave your home. There are just no easy options.

    The way ahead is hard, and it is still true that many lives will sadly be lost. Facing a growing storm of criticism about his laissez-faire response to the fast-spreading coronavirus, Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced on Monday that he would place Britain under a virtual lockdown , closing all nonessential shops, banning meetings of more than two people, and requiring people to stay in their homes, except for trips for food or medicine. People who flout the new restrictions, the prime minister said, will be fined by the police. The steps, which Mr.

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    Johnson outlined in a televised address to the nation, bring him into alignment with European leaders like President Emmanuel Macron of France and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, who have all but quarantined their countries in a desperate bid to slow the outbreak. Johnson said. The number of confirmed cases in Britain rose to 6, on Monday, up from 5, a day earlier, while the death toll jumped by 54, to British officials believe that those numbers are about to balloon.

    In Germany, Chancellor Angela Merkel tested negative for the virus days after being exposed to an infected doctor, a spokesman said on Monday. The doctor had vaccinated Ms. Merkel against pneumonia on Friday. The chancellor has been isolating herself at home since learning that the doctor was infected on Sunday.

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    She will receive more tests to confirm the results, since it may be too early to detect an infection. Eleven states and the District of Columbia have reopened enrollment under the Affordable Care Act to allow laid-off workers to get subsidized health insurance, and the Trump administration, which has been gunning to repeal the law, is considering opening the federal exchange to new customers.

    The new enrollment periods will ease insurance sign-ups for people who have recently lost health coverage along with their jobs and will provide an opportunity for people who did not buy insurance for the year to reconsider that choice. The Affordable Care Act was set up with a short annual window for insurance sign-ups. That was meant to encourage Americans to buy coverage while they were still healthy, keeping down premiums. Under the Affordable Care Act, people who lose insurance coverage when they lose their job are already allowed to buy their own insurance.